Dynasty Buy: Tarik Cohen
Tarik Cohen is someone everyone should be trying to swoop up this offseason in PPR leagues. He is a high floor player that has the ability to boom. Cohen, going into his 4th season, just turned 25 and is as durable as they come. He has yet to miss a game in his career.
Yes, 2019 was a disappointing year for Tarik Cohen with a RB27 finish. However, the thing people tend to forget is that in 2018 Cohen was RB11 in PPR leagues and averaged almost 15 points per game. The difference between the two years wasn’t due to usage. As detailed above, his targets and receptions went up from 2018 to 2019. Instead, the reason for his fall was a steep decrease inefficiency.
Cohen’s yards per reception went from 10.2 to 5.8 and total touchdowns went from 8 to 3. A big cause of this was the lack of big plays in 2019, but fans should expect that to change in 2020. Almost everything went wrong in Chicago last year on offense and regardless of who you expect to win the QB battle, things should definitely be better in 2020. Matt Nagy is still a young coach and should learn from his 2019 shortcomings and look back at what made is offense so efficient in 2018.
Cohen’s value comes from his receiving work and is a lock in my opinion to catch at least 70 balls. He isn’t utilized too much on the ground, but should receive around 70 carries or more, which is just a bonus on top of his great work in the passing game. Chicago didn’t really add any RB depth in the offseason, so although Montgomery will receive a majority of the work on the ground, there aren’t any other RBs to risk stealing receptions and carries from Cohen.
Cohen works out of the slot quite a bit which is great for his value and should give even less of a reason to worry about Montgomery undermining his worth. In 2019, Cohen lined up outside of the backfield on almost 40% of the snaps and that has the potential to increase. This offseason, Chicago saw the departures of Taylor Gabriel, Trey Burton, and a slew of other players that accounted for 114 targets. Chicago didn’t add anyone during the offseason that will be a threat to steal all those targets. In my opinion, Jimmy Graham and Ted Ginn were desperation additions. Graham, was also a definite overpay, as at this point of his career he doesn’t offer much. Ginn will stay consistent as someone who stretches the field and will make a big play or two, but will also drop the ball more than he should. I do like the pick of TE Kmet out of Notre Dame in the second round, but as usually seen with rookie TE’s, don’t expect too much out of him in year 1. 2nd year player Riley Ridley and 2020 late round pick Darnell Mooney could compete for targets, but I don’t expect any of these players to make a huge impact in 2020.
Tarik Cohen is Chicago’s big play weapon and safety net on offense, other than the sure handed Robinson. I expect Nagy to use Cohen to his full potential this season.
I wouldn’t expect a RB11 finish like in 2018, but Cohen should be a lock for at least 70 catches and has a great chance to be a RB2. In redraft, Cohen has an ADP of RB33, but there is no chance without an injury that he doesn’t beat that.
Go out and see what your league mate wants for him, I bet you will be surprised on the low cost.