Podcastic Start 'em Sit 'em
Updated: Sep 10, 2020
QB: Josh Allen
Allen will be started by most almost every week, but this week he faces a porous Jets defense that lost Pro-Bowlers Jamaal Adams (trade) and CJ Mosley (opt out). Josh Allen also has the weekly rushing upside and a new weapon in Stefon Diggs! Start him and watch the points add up!
QB: Phillip Rivers
Rivers will have much more time to operate behind arguably the NFL's best offensive line. He has plenty of weapons at his disposal as well. T.Y. Hilton, Michael Pittman Jr., and Parris Campbell should form a talented WR corps. He will also be aided by his run game with returning one thousand yard rusher Marlon Mack and possibly the best rookie running back in the league, Jonathan Taylor, forming a one-two punch. They also face a gutted Jaguars defense that just lost star defensive end Yannick Ngakoue. Rivers may not have even been drafted in your league, so streaming him could help you get a week 1 victory if you have one of our sits as your starter.
QB: Mitch Trubisky
Starting off with a bang, I don’t think Trubisky is a world beater by any means. But if there is one team in the NFL that Mr. Biscuits owns, it's the Lions. Over his career Mitch has averaged: 75% completion, 3TDS, and 290yards a game. Against all opponents not in silver and blue: 63% completion, 1.2TDS, and 211yards a games. Reports out of camp have pointed to an even weaker secondary than past seasons in Detroit, so I don’t see that split changing anytime soon.
James @StreamFf QB: Teddy Bridgewater (vs. Raiders) - I expect the Panthers to be in a lot of shootouts this year and playing the league's 6th worst pass defense in 2019 is a great start. Teddy and the rest of the Carolina offense (including new OC Joe Brady) will make a statement in their opener similar to what Chip Kelly and the Eagles did in 2013 against Washington.
RB: Josh Jacobs
Jacobs had a fantastic rookie season. On top of that, there is not much competition for carries in this backfield. The Raiders will face the Panthers #32 ranked defense per PFF. The Panthers also happened to give up the most points to opposing running backs just a season ago. Look for big things from the 2nd year stud!
RB: James Conner
Conner has had a LONG time to get healthy. He’s a hard runner and a staple of the offense when healthy. Big Ben trusts him in pass protection, and he’s one of his favorite relief targets while under pressure. Don’t sleep on Conner as a Top-12 RB this week against a NYG defense that has been searching for it's defensive identity for almost a decade.
RB: Todd Gurley (vs. Seahawks) - Seattle's run defense quietly fell apart last year after Clowney was injured and now he's gone to Tennessee. They also gave up the 4th most passing yards to RBs last year, so Gurley can also get some yards through the air. You're also not going to get a healthier version of Gurley than week one. So if he doesn't start with a bang, I'd be worried.
WR: DJ Chark
Chark will have a favorable matchup against the Colts, who gave up the 10th most points to the WR position in 2019. Chark has built chemistry with Minshew throughout an entire season together. The Jaguars could also be trying to keep pace with the Colts because their defense has taken a major hit this offseason. I expect big things from the WR this week and moving forward!
WR: Allen Robinson
ARob is Trubisky's most trusted target. For most of the reasons you should start him you can probably see the write up on Trubisky above. Allen Robinson is an elite talent and should torch a Lions defense that just gave up the 2nd most PPR points to WR. Not to mention that this game could become a shootout!
WR: Desean Jackson
The eagles WR corps comes into the 2020 season in a similar place as in 2019. Everyone is hurt and right now Jackson is the incumbent WR1 on the team. That, when paired with Jackson’s opening day destructive tendencies, makes him a solid week winner against an abysmal Redskins secondary. Fun fact for you: Jackson over the last 4 years, with 4 different QB’s, has averaged a stat line on opening day of 6rec 110yards and 1TD.
WR: Stefon Diggs (vs. Jets) - The last couple of months I've been wondering if Diggs could have a similar impact on Josh Allen that T.O. had with McNabb. I know they're physically different, but they both have that alpha WR1 swagger that can carry over to a quarterback. Owens didn't waste any time making a statement in his Philly debut with three TDs. I'm not predicting that for Diggs but he couldn't ask for a better spot than the Jets, who were a bottom ten defense against the pass in 2019 and then traded away their best player in Jamal Adams.
TE: Hayden Hurst
Hurst has a huge opportunity to fill the shoes of Hooper. He may be just as good or better as an athlete. Hurst has been practicing with Ryan even before training camp and the QB has heaped praise on him. Hooper was on pace for 119 targets last year so Ryan likes to utilize the TE. I don't see this changing and playing against the Seahawks who gave up the 2nd most PPR points to the position last year, I can see him having a solid fantasy outing.
TE: Tyler Higbee
Tyler Higbee had a magical five game stretch to end the season, posting 100 yard efforts in 4 out of 5 games. The Cowboys will put up points so the Rams will have to keep pace. They may do this by exposing the Cowboys weakness guarding TEs. They gave up the 3rd most points to tight ends on the season in 2019. Start him knowing he has tons of upside in this matchup!
TE: George Kittle
I didn't want to put this because it is obvious. I just had to do it. Possibly the best TE in the NFL against the league's worst defense against tight ends. Add in that the WR corps is banged up. Kittle will feast this week!
TE: Hunter Henry
Mike Williams won't be in the lineup this year. Tyrod doesn't chuck it deep. Ekler and Allen will eat against sub par defensive coverage of the Bengals secondary. The worst position on the Bengals roster depth wise is the LB position. This game is my sneaky game to smash the over. Henry’s floor is better than most TE’s this week.
James @StreamFf TE: Noah Fant (vs. Titans) - I'm on the Fant breakout bandwagon this year. I think it gets started on Monday night against Tennessee, who quietly ranked 5th worse against TEs in 2019.
D/ST: Washington Football Team (vs. Eagles) - Some quick reasons: 1) Chase Young was added to an already solid defense, 2) Philly's O-line is a work in progress, 3) Even at his best, Wentz is still a gunslinger who likes to wait as long as possible to throw and can be careless with the ball (i.e. sacks and fumbles), and 4) Eagles are known to start the season slow.
QB: Daniel Jones
Danny Dimes is such a fun player, and I am rooting for him! But his schedule to start the season is very uninspiring. This first game against Pittsburgh should be a struggle. The Steelers ave 3 top 25 corners according to PFF. To add on to this they have monsters in the front 7. Stephon Tuitt, Cam Heyward, and TJ Watt will be pressuring the second year QB and making his day a living hell. If you have Daniel Jones I would advise you to use a streaming option this week.
QB: Sam Darnold
Sam Darnold will have a tough time producing week 1. For starters he will be playing the Bills, who are PFF's number 5 defense. The Bills gave up the third fewest points to QBs just last year. His WR corps is banged up, and he is playing for Adam Gase. Add all of this up and it leads to a disappointing week.
QB: Cam Newton
Cam has a rushing floor and is playing against one of the worst defenses in the league on paper, but I just can’t trust him in my lineup this week until i see him on a new team for the first time in his career. This game feels like a rushing slugfest and a game full of sloppy offensive play. Cam should stay on your bench until we see that he can still sustain offensive consistency san’s McCaffrey.
QB: Aaron Rodgers (vs. Vikings) - There are a few mid level QBs with bad matchups this week (Daniel Jones, Baker Mayfield) but I'm also staying away from Rodgers on the road against Minnesota. This should be a slow-paced run-heavy game on both sides and I don't see a scenario where Minnesota puts Green Bay in a hole where Rodgers gets to air it out. Plus they still haven't given him a reliable #2 option and Adams can only do so much.
RB: Ronald Jones
I was hyping Ronald Jones throughout the offseason because of the opportunity he had. He seemed poised to take another step in Bruce Arians offense as their lead back. Then McCoy was brought in which could take some passing work away. Next Fournette. Arians has come out and said that Fournette will have a significant role for them this week. Add onto this that the Saints are a stingy run defense. I believe Rojo is talented and may have some breakaway plays. The opportunity just doesn't seem to be there enough for me to trust him in my lineup. Fade this backfield until further notice.
RB: Melvin Gordon
The Titans defense is my darkhorse to finish as the top fantasy defense this year. The addition of Clowney to an already stacked DL and ILB core means rushing lanes are going to be TIGHT this week for Gordon. That when paired with Lindsey’s presence in the backfield, and the Broncos’ suspect OL means Gordon is better left on your bench this week.
RB: Kenyan Drake (vs. 49ers) - I know he had a strong debut against them last year but I'm not counting on a repeat performance. Overall San Francisco was third toughest defense against opposing RBs in 2019. This included the 2nd lowest receiving yards to RBs, so I wouldn't count on the receiving work to save Drake this week.
WR: AJ Green
Don't be fooled by the big name, Green is not a player you want in your lineup this week. He is healthy for now but was dealing with a hamstring injury in camp. NFL.com reported that the Bengals are likely to monitor the WRs snaps this week. He also faces a solid Chargers defense who gave up the 3rd fewest PPR points to WR in 2019. He does have an upgrade at QB with the Heisman winner Joe Burrow taking over, but we have seen teams lean on the run game early when trying to acclimate their young QBs to the NFL. Green has so much talent but he is an easy fade for me in week 1.
WR: Amari Cooper
Jalen Ramsey. That’s the analysis. That’s it.
WR: Amari Cooper (vs. Rams) - I'm assuming Jalen Ramsey will be shadowing Cooper all game. So Dak will have no reason to force it to him, especially now with Ceedee in town.
TE: Jimmy Graham
Another big name that has fallen off in recent years. Graham is still thought of by many as a top tier TE while his performance on the field the last few years has not shown this. He is playing a top half defense in the league against TEs. The Bears also have 2nd round pick Cole Kmet who will get some snaps as well. Lastly, Trubisky and this offense failed to utilize the TE position much at all last year. The whole position group's combined stats were 416 yards and 2 TDs. You do not want that in your lineup. Please do not start Jimmy Graham.
TE: TJ Hockenson
Reports out of camp are that Hockenson is still nursing his ankle injury that prematurely ended his season last year. When paired with the mess that is Patricia’s offense, Hockenson, although immensely talented, is a player I am waiting to see perform before I am comfortable playing him every week. Not to mention Hockenson matching up with a top 3 coverage LB in Roquan Smith this week. Sit him or you’ll regret it.
TE: Austin Hooper (vs. Ravens) - Nothing too surprising here. Until I see how involved Hooper is with his new team I'd be cautious, especially against the league's second-toughest defense vs. TEs in 2019.
D/ST: Denver (vs. Titans) - I was avoiding them before the Von Miller news came out but even more so now. This should be a slow, grinding game with both teams focusing on the run. And Tannehill last year showed sound decision-making with Tennessee so I wouldn't expect many turnovers even if he has to pass.