Podcastic Start/ Sit Week 8
Wow! We are half way through the season after this week. It is crunch time, and optimal lineups need to be set! We are here to help, as always, with our start/ sit article. We are also just a DM away to answer any of your questions. Let's get down to business.
QB: Teddy Bridgewater
Teddy looks to really be picking up this Joe Brady offense. He is becoming more comfortable as a full time starting QB and has a plethora of weapons. He now gets to face a porous Atlanta defense allowing the most fantasy points per game to the QB position. Feel comfortable sliding Teddy B in as your starting QB this week!
QB: Baker Mayfield (vs. Las Vegas), FantasyPros ECR QB19
This could easily be a case of chasing points, but I like Mayfield’s matchup again this week. The Raiders are tied for the third most fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks. Every team has thrown for at least 259 yards against them, with the exception of New England, which simply chose to dominate them on the ground (250 yards rushing). Cleveland has a poor pass defense of their own, which should hopefully create a shootout atmosphere and not allow Cleveland to sit on any lead.
QB: Derek Carr (vs. CLE)
One of my favorite streaming options for Week 8 comes as the QB16 in ECR.
Derek Carr is quietly having a solid season, averaging 288 yards and just over 2 TDs per game. He has thrown multiple TD passes in 5 out of 6 weeks as well, giving him a safe floor. This week Carr will face a soft Cleveland Browns defense that just gave up 406 yards passing to Joe Burrow. Consider Carr a strong streaming option in Week 8.
QB: Derek Carr
Carr was a sit last week for me but had himself a solid game against a good Bucs D. This week he gets a less solid D in Cleveland that gives up the 3rd most passing yards a game and just got smoked by rookie Joe Burrow. Carr, with the 3rd best passer rating in the league, keeps things rolling against the Browns.
RB: Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor has been good so far this year but not as dominant as many in the fantasy community thought he would be. He could post a huge game this week though, as he faces a Lions D that is weak against the run. He is now beginning to get a little receiving work as he had 4 receptions for 55 yards in the Colts last outing. JT should be a high end RB 2 maybe low end RB 1 this week.
RB: Melvin Gordon (vs. Chargers) FantasyPros ECR RB19 – Gordon has been quietly effective this year, with at least 80 total yards in four of five games so far (the only dud being against Tampa Bay’s elite run defense in week three) and five total TDs. The matchup with the Chargers is average. They haven’t been bad vs. the run (12th fewest fantasy points per game to RBs) but did get gashed by James Robinson last week (137 total yards and 2 TDs). I’m also admittedly a sucker for a revenge game narrative.
RB: Zack Moss (vs. NE)
Could this be the week Zack Moss breaks out? The Buffalo Bills RB is currently ranked as the RB37 in ECR. It appears his toe injury is in the rearview mirror as he played on 47% of snap in Week 7. This week he draws a Patriots defense that gave up 112 yards to Jeff Wilson Jr. and 101 yards to Philip Lindsay the past 2 weeks. Look for Moss to have a career day in this one! Consider him a low end RB2/FLEX this week.
RB: Melvin Gordon
Gordon has 3 touchdowns in the last 2 games and could get the backfield all to himself this week with Phillip Lindsay in concussion protocol. The Chargers have given up 2 100 yard rushers in the last 3 games. If Gordon can just hold on to the ball he could be in for a lot of work.
WR: Mike Evans
Mike Evans was very disappointing for fantasy owners in his last matchup, but that should change this week. Chris Godwin will be out this week after having surgery on a broken finger. They play a Giants D that is about middle of the pack in fantasy points given up per game to WRs and Mike Evans should be able to make plenty of plays against this defense.
WR: Brandon Aiyuk (vs. Seattle) FantasyPros ECR WR24
This one is just connecting the dots. With Deebo Samuel on the shelf with an injured hamstring, Aiyuk is now the WR1 for San Francisco and will face the defense allowing the most fantasy points to WR. Aiyuk has some risk considering he’s a rookie with only one career 100 yard game, but he also has top 10 upside this week.
WR: Nelson Agholor (vs. CLE)
I decided to pair Derek Carr with one of his new favorite targets in Nelson Agholor. The former Eagles WR comes in at WR49 in ECR. This is incredibly low for Agholor who's averaged 16.9 PPR points the past 3 weeks. He also saw a season high 9 targets in Week 7. Agholor has scored in 4 out of 6 games. Could he be be this year's DaVante Parker? Consider him a strong WR3/FLEX in a favorable matchup against the Browns.
WR: Brandon Aiyuk
This start seems too obvious. Aiyuk is coming off his best game of the year, fellow wide out Deebo Samuel is out, and it’s the Seahawks, who give up the most points to opposing wide receivers. The 49ers should look to get Aiyuk the ball as much as possible, even on the ground.
TE: Jimmy Graham
Jimmy Graham is definitely not the Jimmy Graham of old, but he gets a great matchup against his former team,the Saints, who give up the 2nd most fantasy points per game to the position. Graham should at least be able to snag a TD and be relevant this week. The TE landscape is still barren, so expect him to be a mid to back end TE1.
TE: Jimmy Graham (vs. New Orleans) FantasyPros ECR TE17
When a player who’s averaging 33 yards per game over the last four weeks is my start of the week then you know the position is in bad shape. But that’s tight end for you this year. I’m just looking at the targets (14 combined over the last two weeks) and the opponent (tied for the second most fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends). Looking at the rest of the league, I’d be surprised if Graham doesn’t finish as a top ten option this week.
TE: Mike Gesicki (vs. LAR)
I highlighted Mike Gesicki as one of the puzzling players in my most recent article. He enters this week as the TE14 in ECR. This might be a week too early, but I'm willing to take a shot if I am a TE needy team. Rookie QBs tend to look to the TE position early on. Look for this to give Gesicki a small boost in Week 8. Consider him a low end TE1 this week.
QB: Drew Brees
Drew Brees is just an okay fantasy option this year, and that does not include this week. He will face one of the toughest defenses in the league, the Chicago Bears. They are giving up only 13.1 fantasy points per game to QBs on the season. Brees will possibly be without Michael Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, and Marquez Callaway as well. Try to find a better option this week.
QB: Matt Ryan (vs. Carolina) FantasyPros ECR QB10
Ryan has two huge 4 TD games this year but they’ve been against two of the worst pass defenses in the league (Dallas and Minnesota). The other five games he has four touchdowns total. Carolina played Atlanta three weeks ago and held him to 226 yards and 0 TDs at home. I know Julio is back and that should help, but Carolina has been a very solid pass defense (only Herbert has gone over 300 yards passing against them) and this week they’re at home.
QB: Joe Burrow (vs. TEN)
Coming off a career high 406 yards passing, Joe Burrow is a player to avoid in Week 8. The QB12 goes against a better defense in the Tennessee Titans this week. If you take out his 2 games against the Cleveland Browns, Burrow is only averaging 15.77 points (6pt per passing TD). He could also be without 2 of his starting offensive linemen. There are plenty of better streaming options available in Week 8.
QB: Josh Allen
After a hot start, Allen has cooled off lately. He struggled to get the ball in the end zone last week against the hapless Jets and now gets a tough Patriots D. Always a threat because of his legs but Allen could have issues again this week with New England.
RB: James Conner
James Conner is having a good fantasy season (PPR RB 15 despite a bye week) but runs into the Baltimore Ravens defense this week. The Ravens are very stingy when it comes to giving up fantasy points to the RB position. View Conner as a flex play this week.
RB: Ezekiel Elliott (vs. Philadelphia) FantasyPros ECR RB5
This was the easiest call for me this week. In the two games since Dak was injured, Zeke has yet to get more than 12 carries or top 50 yards rushing. The Dallas offense is in shambles and might be playing on the road with a third-string QB against a defense that’s allowing the tenth fewest points to RBs.
RB: Devin Singletary (vs. NE)
Devin Singletary comes in as the RB21 in ECR. He also has a favorable matchup against the New England Patriots. So why should you bench him? In games where Zack Moss has played 45% or more of snaps Singletary is only averaging 8.9 PPR points. It would not surprise me if this is the game Moss takes over as the lead RB. Consider Singletary a FLEX play this week.
RB: David Montgomery
Montgomery’s had an unspectacular year to say the least. He only has 1 touchdown on the ground through 7 games and the Bears have one of the lowest scoring offenses in the league. Against a top 5 rush D in the Saints, I’d be worried playing Montgomery.
WR: Darius Slayton
Slayton has only had 3 double digit fantasy point games this year, and now Sterling Shepard is back and seemingly the top option for Daniel Jones. The Giants offense is not clicking, and they face a very tough Bucs defense this week. Look elsewhere this week.
WR: Adam Thielen (vs. Green Bay) FantasyPros ECR WR8
Thielen has been great for fantasy this year with seven touchdown receptions. But he’s also been inconsistent, with three games of 6+ receptions and 80+ yards and three games of 3 receptions and 51 yards or less. It’s just the bad games have usually been saved with some touchdowns so they’re not noticed if you just look at the fantasy points. Green Bay has dominated Detroit and Atlanta at home this year, holding each to under 250 yards passing. So Thielen most likely will be once again relying on garbage time production and/or high TD variance.
WR: Chase Claypool (vs. BAL)
Chase Claypool saw 1 whole target in Week 7 while playing on 65% of snaps. The WR25 in ECR faces a tough Baltimore Raven defense this week. As long as Diontae Johnson is around, expect him to dominate the targets. Claypool is a strong sit candidate as he offers limited upside in Week 8.
WR: Cooper Kupp
The Rams WRs have been a little underwhelming the last fews weeks. Kupp hasn’t had more than 43 yards receiving in the last 2 games and plays a much improved Miami team that has only given up 3 passing TDs in the last 4 weeks. Don't be surprised if Kupp struggles.
TE: Tyler Higbee/ Gerald Everett
These two talented tight ends eat into each other's work. They also face a Miami D that held Kittle to just 8.4 PPR points. I would avoid both of these TEs this week.
TE: T.J. Hockenson (vs. Indianapolis) FantasyPros ECR TE8
I’ve been a big fan to Hockenson this year and would consider him a must start most weeks. But I’ve also come to respect this Colts defense and will at the very least keep expectations in check for anyone playing them. The Colts are easily the toughest defense against tight ends this year, holding them to 2.2 fantasy points per game (the next lowest is the Dolphins at 4.2).
TE: Robert Tonyan (vs. MIN)
Robert Tonyan scored 0 points in Week 1 against the Vikings. He comes in as the TE10 in ECR. The past 2 weeks he has only seen 6 targets. Do not expect that to change as long as Davante Adams remains healthy. Tonyan falls into the TD or bust group of TEs moving forward. Grab yourself a streaming TE option such as Richard Rodgers, Trey Burton or Mike Gesicki instead.
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