Podcastic Week 10 Start/ Sit
Week 10 start/ sits are here! As always if you have any other lineup questions we are all available to help! Now let's secure some playoff spots!
QB: Jared Goff
Goff has not been spectacular this year (QB 17 in 6 point per passing TD), but he gets to face a porous Seahawks defense that has allowed plenty of huge games to QBs this season! We all know Mr. Unlimited will put up points, so Goff will need to keep pace. Start Goff with plenty of confidence this week!
QB: Drew Lock (vs LV)
Drew Lock has had 2 straight fantasy relevant games. He has thrown at least 40 passes in 3 straight games as well. The volume should be there as the Broncos could be trailing once again. He should be able to take advantage of a positive matchup against a below average Raiders defense. Consider Lock a low end QB1 this week.
QB: Jared Goff
This may be a reach but Seattle is a great cure for bad QB play. Seattle gives up the most passing yards a game by far and also allow the 2nd most fantasy points a game to QB’s. Goff, coming off a bye, had 355 passing yards last game but also 4 turnovers. If he cuts the turnovers out, he’s in good position for a good game in what could be a shootout.
QB: Tua Tagovailoa (vs. LA Chargers), FantasyPros ECR QB15
Maybe the Tagovailoa family just needs a warm-up before settling in. Taulia, Tua’s brother, shook off a 3 INT debut for the Terps to lead them to two straight upsets. Meanwhile there were rumors swirling that Tua was auditioning for his job after struggling in his debut against the Rams two weeks ago (12/22, 93 yards passing). But he rebounded in a big way vs. Arizona, throwing for 248 yards and 2 TDs and adding another 35 yards rushing. Now he gets a Chargers defense allowing the fourth most fantasy points to QBs and that’s given up 29+ points in their last five games.
RB: James Conner
Conner really let me down last week, but I am going back to the well. Coming off of a bad performance I expect him to bounce back against an average Bengals defense. Conner is putting together a solid season, and I am not going to let a bad game sour me on him. Start Conner as an RB2.
RB: Duke Johnson (vs CLE)
David Johnson exited Week 9 with a concussion. This opened the door for Duke Johnson, who saw 20 touches and turned in 15.3 PPR points. If David Johnson misses week 10, Duke will be the primary back and a solid fantasy option. Consider him a solid RB2 and a must start in PPR scoring formats.
RB: J.D. McKissic
I’m riding a hot hand here. Last week, McKissic had 14 targets and almost 18 fantasy points with Alex Smith playing the majority of the game. This week he gets the Lions who have allowed 4 receiving TDs to RBs in the last 4 games and also give up the most fantasy points to opposing RBs. With Smith now the starter, in a game Washington is an underdog, we could see a lot more receiving work for McKissic.
RB: J.D. McKissic (at Detroit) FantasyPros ECR RB22
The combination of a dump-off specialist like Alex Smith (who fed McKissic 14 targets last week) and a defense allowing the most points to RBs (30.4/game) makes McKissic an auto-start for me in PPR leagues.
WR: Robert Woods
Robert Woods should be able to put up great numbers this week facing a suspect Seahawks secondary. They could be in a shootout and I could see Goff targeting Woods often in this one! Smash start this week!
WR: Tim Patrick (vs LV)
Tim Patrick returned from a hamstring injury in Week 9. He turned in a respectable 4 catches for 29 yards and a TD. Jerry Jeudy has received a lot of hype in recent weeks, but Patrick should still be the go to guy. Add in a matchup against a below average Raiders defense. This could be a big week for both Drew Lock and Tim Patrick. They could make quite the interesting stack in DFS as well. Consider Patrick a strong WR3/FLEX in Week 10.
WR: Brandin Cooks
Cooks has been on a tear. He’s had at least 9 targets (39 total targets) and 3 TDs in the last 4 games. This week he’s an underdog on the road in Cleveland which gives up the 5th most points to WRs. In one of the highest combined projected point totals of the week, I like him to keep cooking.
WR: Travis Fulgham (at Giants) FantasyPros ECR WR25
At the current ECR, Fulgham is sitting outside the top 24 WRs which is crazy to me. In the five games he’s played, he’s had three weekly finishes inside the top fourteen. James Bradberry is a great CB, but he doesn’t shadow receivers and the other starting CB, Isaac Yiadom, really struggled against the WFT. Maybe there’s concern that Fulgham is a fluke or that Reagor (and possible Jeffery) being back will affect him. But Fulgham has yet to show anything other than he’s a legit WR1 right now.
TE: Eric Ebron
Eric Ebron has developed a good rapport with Big Ben, and if he is able to go I am very comfortable starting Ebron this week at a position with a lot of question marks. Pitt plays a beatable Bengals D and I could see Ebron back in the end zone this week!
TE: Trey Burton (vs TEN)
Trey Burton was a disappointment in Week 9 catching only 1 of his 4 targets for 6 yards. It ended his TD streak. There is a chance that both Jack Doyle and Mo Alie-Cox miss this week due to injury. If both were to miss, Burton should see an increase in both playing time and targets. He faces a Titans defense that struggled against the pass in recent weeks. Consider Burton a low end TE1 with upside for more.
TE: Logan Thomas (at Detroit) FantasyPros ECR TE17
Thomas is the second member of the Washington Football Team to make my start list and it makes me ill. But here’s where he currently ranks among TEs in some key categories (all pulled from Player Profiler):
* Snap share = #4
* Snaps in the slot = #1
* Routes run = #6
* Route participation = #3
* Targets = #10
He may not be a sexy pick but I honestly think he has just a good of a chance as finishing as the TE2 this week as anyone else (he has two top 10 finishes in the last three weeks).
QB: Kirk Cousins
Coming off an impressive 3 TD performance, expect Cousins to regress this week against a tough Bears D. I expect a very low scoring matchup which does not bode well for Cousins fantasy output.
QB: Carson Wentz (vs NYG)
Most Eagles fans would tell you how awful Carson Wentz has played this season. It is hard to see that changing in Week 10. He faces a Giants defense that has played better in recent weeks. Wentz's rushing upside has saved him at times this season. With Miles Sanders returning, expect Wentz to score less. Consider Wentz a high end QB2 this week. Find yourself a better streaming option such as Jared Goff or Drew Lock.
QB: Joe Burrow
Burrow is coming off his bye, but he’s welcomed back by the vaunted Steelers D who should pressure him all day. The Steelers lead the league with 32 sacks and also have 15 take aways. This is a week to keep the rookie on your bench.
QB: Tom Brady (at Carolina) FantasyPros ECR QB8
Brady has mixed in some boom weeks (two games with 4+ TDs) with some busts (three games with 1 or less TDs). One of those games was week 2 vs. Carolina when he had 217 yards and 1 TD. Prior to last week’s aerial display by Mahomes, Carolina had been a fantasy defense to temper expectations against, and I think they get back on track this week.
RB: Joe Mixon
I hate listing one of "my guys" in the sit column, but I have to be objective. To start, we aren't even sure Mixon is going to be active this week. Even if he is, he may still be partially limited by his injury against one of the toughest defenses in the league, the Pittsburgh Steelers. If you have a better option use it.
RB: Jonathan Taylor (vs TEN)
Jonathan Taylor has lost touches to Jordan Wilkins in recent weeks. While I expect Taylor to start, it is safe to assume that he will be on thin ice once again. He has failed to top 12 carries and 60 rushing yards in the past 4 games as well. Consider Taylor a risky low end RB2/FLEX play for Week 10.
RB: Chase Edmonds
Last week, Edmonds got his chance to be the man and though he ended up with double digit fantasy points, he didn’t do much with it. He averaged only 2.8 yards a carry on 25 rushes, and Drake may be back this week to confuse fantasy managers on this backfield’s usage. Edmonds is a risky play.
RB: Josh Jacobs (vs. Denver) FantasyPros ECR RB6
Jacobs is still seeing a lot of respect from the rankers considering he’s only gone over 100 yards once all season and still isn’t seeing a high-volume in the passing game (just two total targets the last two weeks). Denver may not be the elite defense they’ve been in the past, but they’re still a top eight unit against RBs. Add his recent health concerns (questionable all last week due to his knee and an illness) and Jacobs is sure from a “set it and forget it” choice this week.
WR: Adam Thielen
Thielen has failed to reach double digit fantasy points the past two weeks, and he faces a Bears D that is tough against WRs. This may be a game with a low point total, and I would honestly prefer Jefferson over Thielen this week with the hope of a big play. Fade Thielen comfortably this week.
WR: Marvin Jones (vs WAS)
Marvin Jones was likely one of the most added players in Week 9 after Kenny Golladay's injury. Looking at the games Golladay has missed or left early due to injury, Jones is only averaging 40 yards and 0.5 TDs. This makes him a true TD dependent WR. He is facing the Washington Football Team that is one of the best teams against the WR position so far. Consider Jones a risky play and try to pivot to a better option.
WR: Adam Thielen
Thielen has had a rough 2 game stretch. The volume in the Vikings passing game just hasn’t been there and now he gets a tough Bears D. The Bears allow the 3rd least amount of fantasy points to WRs and the Vikings are clearly run first with Dalvin Cook dominating teams.
WR: Adam Thielen (at Chicago) FantasyPros ECR WR12
Thielen will almost always be my choice if he’s being ranked as a WR1. He was one of my biggest fades entering the season and earlier in the year he made me look bad (which honestly isn’t hard to do). But he’s really struggled since they bye, with a total of 5 receptions and 65 yards in the last two games. I might be willing to risk playing him against a weak defense or in a projected shootout. But this week at Chicago doesn’t qualify as either.
TE: Jared Cook
The 49ers give up minimal points to the TE position (5PPR points per game). With the pass catchers in the Big Easy getting healthy, and facing such a tough matchup this week I would look elsewhere for more upside.
TE: Jared Cook (vs SF)
Jared Cook has been the definition of Boom/Bust TE. He is only averaging about 4.5 targets a game. With Michael Thomas returning now, he becomes the clear 3rd or 4th option in this offense. He faces a 49ers defense lead by two young LBs (Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw) that have been tough on TEs this year. Cook will need a TD to be fantasy relevant. Cook is a strong sit for Week 10.
TE: Hunter Henry (at Miami) FantasyPros ECR TE7
I was honestly going to put Henry on this list regardless of who his opponent was this week. It just made it easier when I saw that Miami was allowing the 7th lowest points to TEs (5.8/game). Henry seems to be getting a lot of respect considering he has just one top 10 finish on the year (week five vs. NO). I know all his participation metrics (i.e. the ones I had in my section on Logan Thomas) are good but at some point, you need to see some production. After five straight weeks with less than 40 receiving yards, I’m ready to move on.