Podcastic Week 12 Start/Sit
Happy Thanksgiving to everyone and welcome in again to our weekly start/ sit! We are here to help your lineups and solidify your spot in the playoffs! As always we are open to answering any additional questions you have just reach out to us on twitter at our handles below! Now let's get down to business.
QB: Daniel Jones
Danny Dimes has been a disappointment for much of this season. The past two games he has played mistake free football, however, and really flashed his athleticism in his last outing. He rushed for 64 yards vs the Eagles. Playing a beatable Bengals defense, who's whole team may be a little deflated following the horrible Burrow injury, he could put up decent numbers. Jones is a great streaming option this week.
QB: Derek Carr
Carr makes it back onto my start list for week 12. Last week against the Chiefs, one of the best fantasy defenses against QBs, he had 275 yards and 3 TDs. This week he gets the Falcons who are a QB’s dream. Last week the Falcons gave up 233 passing yards to Taysom Hill. Enough said.
QB: Alex Smith (vs DAL)
This one is more of a gut feeling. However, Alex Smith had been getting pass attempts and I do expect this to be a back and forth game. The Cowboys defense is far from elite. They even gave up a top 5 performance to Kirk Cousins last week. Consider Smith a solid streaming option at QB in Week 12. He could even be your Turkey Day MVP!
QB: Matt Stafford (vs. Houston), FantasyPros ECR QB17
I am a sucker for quarterbacks playing at home in domes in projected shootouts. The projected point total for Houston-Detroit is currently at 51, tied for the fourth highest this week. In his last three home starts (vs. NO, Indy, and WFT) he has thrown a total of nine touchdown passes and was a top ten QB each week.
RB: D'Andre Swift
Swift is looking great so far in his rookie season. In his last game he posted his highest total yards from scrimmage (149 yards) against a solid Washington defense. Unfortunately he suffered a concussion in practice before last weeks game and was unable to clear the protocol prior to the game. If he is healthy this week he is a must start against a Texans D that is quick to give up TDs to RBs and is allowing the second most fantasy points per game to the RB position.
RB: Jonathan Taylor
Taylor’s usage has been frustrating to say the least for fantasy managers. Last week though he had 26 touches for 114 total yards and over 15 fantasy points. This week he gets another plus matchup against the Titans who give up the 5th most fantasy points to opposing RBs. Hopefully the Colts realize what they have and continue to give Taylor the majority of the work.
RB: James White (vs ARI)
Welcome back James White! He played on 57% of snaps in Week 11. Rex Burkhead is now out for the season with an ACL injury. This means that White will be the only remaining pass catching back for the Patriots. If they get down early to the Cardinals, White should be in for a big game. Consider him a solid RB2 in PPR scoring formats.
RB: Wayne Gallman (vs. Cincinnati) FantasyPros ECR RB17
Gallman has quietly been an RB1 in three of the last four weeks with a total of five touchdowns in that span. Those were not inflated by playing against soft run defenses (Philly twice, WFT and Tampa Bay). The Bengals allow 19.4 points/game to running backs and should have trouble moving the ball on offense with Brandon Allen at QB. This should allow plenty of positive game script for Gallman and a few opportunities at some goal line carries.
WR: Curtis Samuel
Samuel has been absolutely killing it lately. He has over 17 PPR points in 4 of his last 5 games with three games over 20 points! He is averaging 7 targets per game over the last 5 games and is still receiving carries. It seems like he finally has a coach in Joe Brady that realizes how to maximize his talent. He plays a soft Vikings D that gives up plenty of points to the position. Samuel has high upside this week.
WR: Diontae Johnson
The Ravens present a tough matchup for Johnson, but he’s been a target machine the last 3 weeks. Since becoming completely healthy, Johnson has become Ben Roethlisberger’s favorite target in a high scoring offense. With 3 talented WRs the Steelers create matchup problems for all defenses, and Johnson has been the main benefactor of this lately.
WR: Michael Pittman Jr. (vs TEN)
Slowly but surely Michael Pittman Jr is taking over as the #1 WR for the Colts. He is coming off solid back to back games. The first of which came against the same Titans defense he is facing this week. I expect him to be a hot waiver wire pickup once again this week and for good reason. Consider him a WR3 this week with upside for more.
WR: Marvin Jones (vs. Houston) FantasyPros ECR WR31
Since Stafford is my QB start of the week, it only makes sense that I would also like his WR1. In his last two home starts, Jones has a combined 11/135/3 on 17 targets. It is worth noting that those two games were not against soft pass defenses either (Indianapolis and WFT). With Golladay expected to be out again this week, Jones has huge potential vs. Houston.
TE: Mike Gesicki
Gesicki has been quite a disappointment this year. He has had 5 targets in each of his last two games and at least 40 yards in his last 3 games. With how putrid the TE position has been he is worth a start this week against a Jets team that is bad at everything.
TE: Jordan Reed (vs LAR)
Rule 86: When Jordan Reed is healthy you start him. Reed is in fact healthy in Week 12. He has seen at least 6 targets in 3 out of his last 4 games. He faces a Rams defense that has allowed for some success to opposing TEs. The 49ers could be trailing once again, so expect Reed to see a handful of targets. Consider Reed a low end TE1 with upside for more this week.
TE: Jordan Akins (at Detroit) FantasyPros ECR TE22
This is my third start from the Houston-Detroit game, so I guess it’s clear that I am attacking this matchup. Akins had a mini-breakout last week vs. New England with 83 yards. It is easy to forget that he was working as the clear starting TE for Houston the first three weeks before suffering a concussion in week 4 and then an ankle sprain in week 6. He returned for week 9 and has seen his work increase each week. Houston has the 6th-highest implied point total for week 12, and Akins is a low-cost way to get exposure to it.
QB: Andy Dalton
The Red Rifle looked solid in his return from injury. This may lead some to believe he would be a good start this week, but I would refrain from putting him into my lineup this week. His numbers were good but it was against a suspect Vikings D. This week he has a much tougher matchup against a surprisingly good Washington D. This will most likely be a low scoring matchup as well. Fade Dalton this week.
QB: Lamar Jackson
This is not the Lamar Jackson of 2019. Defenses are not surprised by him anymore. In the last 4 games, he has 4 interceptions and has only reached 20 fantasy points once. In his first meeting with the Steelers, he completed only 46% of passes and had less than 15 fantasy points. Steelers are 1st in fantasy points allowed to QBs and will force Jackson to throw.
QB: Taysom Hill (vs DEN)
The most talked about player in Week 11 was Taysom Hill. He may have also been the most controversial as well (due to his TE eligibility on some platforms). This week he should only be eligible at QB. Up next is a Denver defense that played well enough to get Tua benched last week. Expect Tayson Hill to finish in the QB2 range this week.
QB: Lamar Jackson (at Pittsburgh) FantasyPros ECR QB11
Like most of my “sit” selections, this is more of a fade, since you are most likely stuck starting Jackson if you have him. Jackson only has four QB1 performances this year, only two of which have come against teams outside of the NFC East (Clev and NE). He was the QB16 against Pittsburgh in week 8 and I am not seeing any reason to expect better from him this week. There are a few QBs below him in the rankings that I would prefer to start over him (like Stafford and Bridgewater).
RB: The LA Rams Backfield
The Rams have some young talented backs in Akers and Henderson, but no one seems to be the clear lead back. They ran a full blown committee against the Bucs and had very little success on the ground. Veteran Malcolm Brown led the team in rushing with just 20 yards on 3 carries while Henderson received 8 carries totalling 5 rushing yards and Akers ran for 15 yards on 5 carries. With the Rams wanting to split the work between the backs and another tough matchup against the 49ers, I would relegate all three Rams backs to my bench.
RB: Melvin Gordon
Gordon is coming off a great game against Miami with 84 yards on 5.6 a carry and 2 TDs. This week he gets the Saints who are the best D in points allowed to RBs and he’s still splitting time with Phillip Lindsay. Gordon’s been inconsistent and against a tough D I’m not confident in him this week.
RB: Giovani Bernard (vs NYG)
The good news: Joe Mixon is on IR now. The bad news: Joe Burrow is also on IR now. Giovani Bernard struggled in Week 11. Don't expect that to change with Ryan Finley or Brandon Allen now under center. Bernard will likely be even more of a non factor in the running game. He will have to make his mark as a pass catcher. He faces a Giants defense fresh off their bye in Week 12. Consider Bernard a FLEX play at best this week and a must sit in standard scoring leagues.
RB: Miles Sanders (vs. Seattle) FantasyPros ECR RB9
As an Eagles fan that also has Sanders on every fantasy team, this is a tough one to write. But Sanders has as many weeks as an RB3 as he does an RB1 (two). Seattle is not an intimidating rush defense, but this game could get quickly out of hand for the Eagles and force them to start passing every down. And unfortunately, Sanders has a total of 38 receiving yards over his last four games.
WR: Tee Higgins
This one is sad. Higgins was breaking out with fellow rookie Joe Burrow at the helm for the Bengals. Sadly we all know Burrow had a season ending ACL, MCL tear plus other structural damage (Prayers up). Now with Brandon Allen taking over the offense I would expect Higgins to take a step back. Against an average Giants D some may think he is worth a start but I would look elsewhere.
WR: Chris Godwin
This is a tough one, but the Chiefs are top ten in passing yards allowed and are one of the best defenses in fantasy points allowed to WRs. Antonio Brown’s arrival has eaten into Godwin’s volume, and Brady has struggled recently. Expectations should be lowered this week.
WR: Allen Robinson (vs GB)
The Bears offense could be relying on the arm of 3rd string QB Tyler Bray this week. At best Nick Foles or Mitchell Trubisky could return to play banged up. This is looking like a rough week for Allen Robinson and the Bears offense overall. Add in a spice of Jaire Alexander in coverage for good measure. Consider benching Robinson this week unless you have no clear better option available.
WR: Michael Thomas (at Denver) FantasyPros ECR WR11
Are we all this ready to trust Thomas again, especially with Taysom Hill at QB? Last week were the ideal circumstances facing the soft Atlanta pass defense (4th most points allowed to WRs) at home. Now they are on the road against a Denver team that has only allowed one 300+ passing yards game and held five others under 200 yards.
TE: Chris Herndon
We finally had a Chris Herndon sighting! A breakout candidate by many finally had double digit fantasy points! Now people that were on the bandwagon before the season may see an opportunity to slide him into their lineup. This would not be a good move against a Miami team that is tough against TEs. He is "HernDone". Leave him on waivers.
TE: Jonnu Smith (vs IND)
In his first matchup against the Colts Jonnu Smith only had 2 catches for 14 yards. He reaggravated his ankle injury in Week 11. He is averaging 4.74 PPR points in games that he doesn't score a TD. Consider Smith a TE2 this week.
TE: Jonnu Smith (at Indianapolis) FantasyPros ECR TE13
Smith has been salvaging TE1 value over the last three weeks with touchdowns but at some point that’s going to slow down (unless you believe a TD every 4 touches is sustainable). This week he faces a Colts defense that is allowing the third-lowest points to TEs (5.1/game) and held him to 2 catches for 14 yards in week 10.