Podcastic Week 13 Start/Sit
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QB: Kirk Cousins
Cousins has been hot the past few weeks. He is averaging 73% completions, 2.7 TDs, and 304 yards over his past 3 games. Captain Kirk is coming off of a game without Thielen vs a decent Carolina defense in which he threw for 307 yards and 3 TDs. With Thielen possibly back this week and a favorable matchup vs the Jags defense, start Cousins with confidence!
QB: Derek Carr (vs NYJ)
It is hard to go back to someone who has burned you in the past. Derek Carr did that to a lot of people as he was a major disappoint in Week 12 against the Falcons. That was his first game this season without a TD so he offers a safe floor. 4 turnovers are far from the norm for him as well. Look for him to have a strong bounce back game against the lowly Jets. Consider him a strong streaming candidate in Week 13.
QB: Mitch Trubisky (vs. Detroit), ECR QB22
Let me start by saying if you want a safer streaming option then I would go with Baker Mayfield at Tennessee. But if you are heavy underdog going into this week (or just like to live dangerously), then I would suggest Trubisky. The floor is negative points. I would not be shocked if he threw two INTs and got benched. But even in a tough matchup last week (on the road in a night game vs. Green Bay) he was able to salvage a top 10 performance. Now he is playing at home vs a much softer pass defense in Detroit (giving up the 7th most fantasy points to QBs and just got shredded last week by Deshaun Watson).
QB: Kirk Cousins
Cousins has quietly led his team back into playoff contention, going 4-1 over the last 5 games. Over the last 2 games he’s averaging over 300 yards, 74% completion rate, total 6 TDs and no interceptions, and over 24 fantasy points a game. He now gets one of the worst pass D’s in the league in Jacksonville at home. Cousins should be a popular streaming pick week 13.
RB: Jonathan Taylor
Taylor got the start in his last active game and received 26 touches (22 carries, 4 receptions). People are quite disappointed in JT on the season, but he is currently the PPR RB 20. The Colts rushing offense struggled in JT's absence with their RBs totaling 51 yards on 16 carries. Wilkins is also "pretty banged up" according to Frank Reich as of 3 days ago. I would feel comfortable rolling Taylor out as my RB2 or flex play with upside against a Houston Texans D that gives up the 2nd most points per game to the RB position.
RB: Damien Harris (vs LAC)
I decided to go with a different Patriots RB this week. Last week it was James White who luckily paid off by stealing 2 TDs. Expect Harris to get the majority of the goal line work once again. One of the most positive signs for Harris is that Sony Michel only played on 1 snap in Week 12. Look for Harris to have a solid day against a poor Chargers run defense. Consider him a RB2 this week.
RB: Kenyan Drake (vs. LA Rams) ECR RB21
Similar to his QB, this is not a great matchup for Drake. The Rams are allowing the fifth fewest fantasy points to RBs. But Drake is seeing a decent amount of carries (averaging over 16 per game since returning from injury) and he's seeing his targets increase the last two weeks (9 total vs. 11 total over the first eight weeks). Add in his red zone touches (7th highest in the league) and he is an easy top 15 RB for me.
RB: J.K. Dobbins
I may be going out on a limb here since as of this writing the Ravens still haven’t played their week 12 game and Dobbins is still on the COVID list. Week 11 though he played 63% of snaps and scored his first TD since week 1. Dobbins managers have been waiting all year for him to take the lead roll and it may be happening now. The Cowboys D gives up the most rushing yards per game and the 5th most points to RBs. Things could change depending on his week 12 game but week 13 Dobbins has a plus matchup.
WR: Brandin Cooks
Unfortunately Will Fuller's breakout season has been cut short due to suspension for PEDs. With Fuller out, Cooks is the clear WR1 in this offense with one of the best QBs in the league. This offense has been on fire ever since Bill O'Brien was fired. Indy has a great defense, but targets should be funneled to Cooks. I will take that volume in my WR 2 or FLEX position any day!
WR: Sammy Watkins (vs DEN)
Sammy Watkins had a quiet return to the lineup in Week 12. Coming off a hamstring injury he played on 72% of snaps and saw 7 targets. There will be a lot of focus on Tyreek Hill this week after his monster game. Expect the Lizard King to strike once again in Week 13. Consider him a WR3/FLEX play with some serious boom/bust potential.
WR: Nelson Agholor (vs. NY Jets) ECR WR39
Considering the disaster that the Raiders offense proved to be last week vs. Atlanta, Agholor had a decent week (5/54). Now he faces a Jets defense allowing the sixth most fantasy points to WRs and a great individual matchup against undrafted CB Lamar Jackson. Agholor has been volatile, but he is capable of some big games with two WR1 performances in the last six weeks.
WR: Allen Robinson
Robinson’s playing for a floundering Bears squad but he’s still having a great year as he’s 10th in total WR fantasy points. Mitch Trubisky is back but the targets continue to flow Robinson’s way. 108 targets on the year and 13 last game. Robinson’s averaging over 10 targets the last 3 games and plays a beatable Lions D this week.
TE: Mike Gesicki
My Gesicki call last week was saved by a TD. He has been a disappointment this year, but with the TE landscape the way it is I would feel comfortable starting him this week. He has received 5 targets in each of his last three games and is athletic enough to put up decent numbers with that volume. Against a Bengals D that is giving up the 4th most points to the TE position per game I will roll the dice on Gesicki.
TE: Dalton Schultz (vs BAL)
Dalton Schultz is one of my favorite TEs for this week and headed into the fantasy playoffs. He has received at least 5 targets in every game since Week 8 and has 66 total targets on the season. He goes up against a Ravens defense that has shut down opposing WRs. Expect Schultz to see a few additional targets because of this. He also faces the Bengals in Week 14 and the Eagles in Week 16, both are positive matchups. Be sure to grab him before its too late!
TE: Dalton Schultz (at Baltimore) ECR TE17
There is nothing exciting about the player or the matchup. But Schultz runs plenty of routes and has a decent target floor (four consecutive games with 5+ targets). Baltimore has a strong pass defense but is only average vs. tight ends (over 8 fantasy points per game). There is a decent chance that he gets fed targets out of necessity.
QB: Matthew Stafford
Stafford gets a very tough matchup this week vs the Bears and Golladay STILL may not be active. He dealt with alot of pressure vs the Texans this past week and was sacked 4 times. Stafford has been dealing with a sore thumb and has only put up over 20 point in just one of his last four contests. There are probably better streaming options this week so I would look elsewhere.
QB: Kyler Murray (vs LAR)
Kyler Murray has not been the same player since injuring his shoulder against Seattle. He has been limited to just 5 rushing attempts in each of the last 2 games. Without a clear rushing floor his upside is limited. He is facing a Rams defense that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs. Consider Murray a high end QB2 in Week 13. Start one of the many streaming options that are available instead.
QB: Kyler Murray (at LA Rams) ECR QB6
The Rams are one of the toughest pass defenses in the league (second only to Pittsburgh in fewest points allowed to QBs). The 11 touchdown passes allowed is the lowest in the league. I do not think it is a coincidence that Murray’s worst game of the year came after injuring his shoulder vs. Seattle. He failed to throw a touchdown and only rushed five times for 31 yards. I am worried about any QB at potentially less than 100% against this defense.
QB: Derek Carr
This is possibly out of spite. I’ve had Carr as my QB start twice this year and he’s burned me both times. Against the Falcons who’ve been burned by QBs like Nick Foles and Drew Lock, Carr had his worst game of the year. Against the Falcons who give up the 2nd most passing yards a game and the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing QBs, Carr had 0 TDs, 1 interception, 3 fumbles and 0.6 fantasy points! Even against the Jets, I’m sitting Carr.
RB: James Conner or Benny Snell
Whoever starts this week I would expect to struggle to find running room. The Steelers get the Washington Football Team who have a surprisingly solid run defense. They give up only 15.5 fantasy points per game to RBs. Look for a better option on the week.
RB: Jonathan Taylor (vs HOU)
On paper this looks like a great matchup for Jonathan Taylor. He faces one of the worst run defenses (Houston Texans) in Week 13. However, there is still a strong chance he disappoints as head coach Frank Reich likes to go with the hot hand approach. His lack of success 2 weeks ago against a poor Packers run defense is also slightly concerning as well. Keep in mind he is coming off the COVID list (close contact). I expect both Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins to be involved in the game plan as well. Consider Taylor a low end RB2/FLEX play with a high boom/bust potential this week.
RB: Alvin Kamara (at Atlanta) ECR RB11
If you have Kamara on your team, you already know why he is on the sit list. He’s historically feasted on the screen game/shallow passes from Brees and red zone carries and both of those have taken massive hits with Taysom Hill at QB. You basically have to keep starting him based on his massive weekly ceiling, but he is not the safe option he is with Brees at QB.
RB: Josh Jacobs
Jacobs is trending down at the wrong time of year. He’s coming off his worst game of the year and over the last 2 games is only averaging 12 carries and 41 yards a game. Not good numbers for a workhorse back, which also includes a fumble and now a sprained ankle. It appears that Jacobs will be good to go Sunday but against a surprisingly decent D against the rush in the Jets, Jacobs could have a tough go of things.
WR: Jerry Jeudy
Jeudy draws a tough matchup this week vs the Chiefs. On the plus side he should have Drew Lock back, on the other hand though the Chiefs allow the 6th least fantasy points to the WR position per game (20.6). Jeudy isn't carrying your team to a win this week, there should be plenty of better options.
WR: Amari Cooper (vs BAL)
It is no secret that Amari Cooper has struggled against some of the better CBs in the league. It seems that trend has continued in 2020, outside of Week 1 vs Jalen Ramsey. He put up 4.5 points against James Bradberry and only 1.5 points against Darius Slay. He goes against one of the best there is in Week 13 in Marlon Humphrey. Consider him a WR3 and temper your expectations this week.
WR: DeAndre Hopkins (vs LA Rams) ECR WR10
In the last eight weeks, Hopkins has had five weeks below 10 points (the other three he has been a top 10 WR). And one of those top 10 weeks was saved by the Hail Mary vs. Buffalo. When you factor in the matchup vs. Jalen Ramsey and the fact that Murray might still be dealing with a sore shoulder, Hopkins is not an auto-start for me.
WR: Chase Claypool
It’s hard to put Claypool in a sit column because of his big play ability, but he has a tough matchup week 13 against the Washington Football team. Washington is 2nd in points allowed to WRs and 1st in passing yards allowed a game. Of the Steelers big 3 wide receivers, he receives the least volume and his touchdown rate is likely unsustainable. He’ll likely need to get into the end zone again week 13 for managers to be happy.
TE: Evan Engram
Daniel Jones will be out this week and I do not know if we can trust Colt McCoy to get Engram the ball. The Seahawks D is bad but stopping the TE position is one of the things they are better at. You may not have a better option, but if possible, find a streaming TE.
TE: Mike Gesicki (vs CIN)
This could possibly be the biggest trap match up of the century. The Bengals have struggled against the TE position in 2020. Mike Gesicki has been the definition of inconsistent this year. He has 43 yards or less in 9 out of 11 games this season. He needs a TD to be considered a TE1 this week. The uncertainty at QB also doesn't help. Consider Gesicki a high end TE2 this week and for the rest of the season.
TE: Hunter Henry (vs. New England) ECR TE6
Henry has had three consecutive TE1 weeks since I last had him as a sit in week 10 vs. Miami. So maybe he will prove me wrong again. But most tight ends rely on touchdowns for a TE1 week and New England has only allowed one to the position this year. That is tied with Indianapolis and Pittsburgh for the fewest in the league.