Podcastic Week 4 Start/ Sit
We are back again for week 4 to help you win your week! The Podcastic team is here to help, and we are all available for start sit questions via DM! Twitter handles beside our names as always! Let us get right into it!
QB: Aaron Rodgers
Rodgers has looked like his old self this season. Through 3 games he has thrown for 9 TDs to 0 INTs. Last game, even with Adams out, he went 21 of 32 for 283yards and 3TDs. Expect another big game against a lowly Falcons defense giving up 34.14 PPG to QBs per Yahoo. Even if Adams can not go, Rodgers is a great play this week.
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick (vs SEA)
Ryan Fitzpatrick is coming off his best performance of the year. In week 4 he goes against a banged up Seahawks defense that has allowed 32.65 points per game (6 pts per passing TD) to opposing QBs. Miami is a clear underdog in this matchup. Expect Fitzpatrick to sling the rock early and often! Consider him a low end QB1 this week.
QB: Joe Burrow (vs. Jacksonville)
I’ve been struggling with my QB Starts of the Week but to be fair I’ve haven’t gone for the easy ones. Burrow was most likely drafted as your second quarterback but he’s now sitting at overall QB10. Over the last two games he has 628 yards passing with 5 TDs. Now he gets a Jacksonville defense that’s given up the 6th most fantasy points to QBs.
QB: Deshaun Watson
Watson is coming off back to back tough matchups against Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Throwing for over 250 yards in all 3 games, he now gets a porous Vikings D. With Duke Johnson possibly back, Watson could have another option out of the backfield. Look for Watson to have a break out game in a must win situation for the Texans.
RB: Kenyan Drake
Drake has been disappointing for fantasy owners so far this season. The draft capital spent on him has made his numbers look terrible. What you don't see by just looking at fantasy points every game is that Drake is getting tons of volume. He has had carry totals of 16, 20, and 18 through the first 3 weeks. He is averaging a respectable 4.1 yards per carry, but has only reached the endzone once. He is not having a bad season at all (on pace for over 1k rushing yards) but he hopefully will get more involved in the passing game. Even if he isn't, he is facing a Panthers defense that is surrendering 37.5 points per game to the RB position. Expect Drake to get back on track this week.
RB: James Robinson (vs CIN)
James Robinson opened a lot of eyes last week with 129 total yards and 2 TDs on Thursday Night Football. The Bengals defense has struggled against the run this season. This game should be a positive or neutral game script for the Jaguars. Expect Robinson to see a 60%+ snap rate in this one. Consider Robinson a solid RB2 for Week 4.
RB: James Robinson (vs. Cincinnati)
Robinson currently sits at overall RB6 for the year, so you probably were going to start him if you have him. He gets a great matchup this week vs. the Bengals, who’ve allowed the 4th most fantasy point to RBs, including four TDs.
RB: James Robinson
I already highlighted Robinson in my Fantasy Noise article this week so now I’m all in against Bengals. Robinson gets the 2nd worst rush defense in the league that’s given up 6 rushing touchdowns in 3 weeks. The Jags are underdogs in this one but even in a negative game script and with Chris Thompson on the team, Robinson can be productive. Last week he was their leading receiver with 6 catches for 83 yards. Play Robinson with confidence this week.
Craig @FF_ Schmuck
WR: Allen Lazard
Lazard has been a huge surprise for most this season. Small victory lap here, I wrote an article on why he was the Packers WR 2 this year that you can check out here on our website!
Lazard has been targeted 17 times through the first 3 games, hauling in 13 receptions for 254 yards and 2 TDs. He will be facing the swiss cheese that is the Falcons secondary this week. The Falcons are giving up nearly 40 points per game to the WR position this year. Even if Adams is back, they can both eat this week!
WR: Will Fuller (vs MIN)
The rollercoaster ride of Will Fuller continues in 2020. Week 1 Fuller scored 19.2 PPR points. Week 2 a hamstring tweak limited him to 0 PPR points. Week 3 he bounced back with 15.4 PPR points. Fuller appears to be healthy once again heading into Week 4 and finds himself in favorable matchup against a porous Vikings secondary. Consider Fuller a reliable WR2 this week.
WR: Devante Parker (vs. Seattle)
Looking at Seattle’s stats against WRs, you’d swear they’ve played an extra game. They’ve seen 105 targets (next closest is 73), 76 receptions (next closest is 49) and 1,136 yards (next closest is 736). Their 5 TDs allowed is tied for second-highest. Until this trend stops, you have to keep playing the opposing team’s WRs, especially their WR1. Parker has also had a few extra days to get healthy considering they played on Thursday.
WR: Odell Beckham Jr
Beckham’s had a slow start to the year but now gets a beatable Cowboys D. If ever a week for him to turn it on it’s now, as Dallas gives up the 5th most passing yards per game. As 4.5 point underdogs and with the 2nd highest implied point total of the week, Cleveland is going to need to keep up with Dallas. Beckham is still an uber talent and I’d get him in your lineups this week.
TE: TJ Hockenson
The young pro has looked solid on the season this year. He is now facing a Saints defense that is giving up a per game average of 96.7 receiving yards, 9.7 rec, 1.3 TDs, and 22.5 fantasy points to the TE position. Hock is an easy start for me this week.
TE: Mo Alie-Cox
If you want a streamer, take a flyer on the massive ex-college basketball athlete. He has looked really great when given opportunity. Doyle returned this past game and was not targeted once. Alie-Cox also outsnapped him 36-32. It may be that Doyle was still a little banged up, but it could also be a changing of the guard. Alie-Cox had 3 receptions for 50 yards and a TD last game. With the injuries to the Colts WR corps he could possibly put up similar numbers, or better, against a Chicago Bears defense that is average against the position.
TE: Jimmy Graham (vs IND)
I will be the first to admit that I questioned the Bears signing Jimmy Graham this past offseason. However, through the first 3 weeks he looks like a productive part of this Bear offense. Graham saw 7 targets in Week 1 and 9 targets in Week 3. When streaming a TE you are looking for two things: target volume and TD upside. Graham offers both of these things. The Colts defense has held TEs in check so far through 3 weeks, but look for that to change this week. Consider Graham a low end TE1 for week 4.
TE: T.J. Hockenson (vs. New Orleans)
Hockenson is probably a popular name this week and for good reason. The Saints have allowed the most receptions, yards, and aretied for the most touchdowns to tight ends. And Hockenson is coming off his season high in snap share, routes, and targets. This one seems too obvious, which means he's probably going to disappoint.
D/ST: Tampa Bay (vs. Los Angeles Chargers) – The Bucs have been a very good fantasy defense this year, tied for third in sacks (12) and second in interceptions (4). Now they get a rookie QB who will be making his first road start. Herbert could be in for a long afternoon if Tampa Bay can get off to a fast start.
QB: Justin Herbert
Herbert has looked pretty solid so far this year. He will face some stiff competition this week though, playing a Bucs defense that is only allowing 14.2 fantasy points per game to the position. I would avoid him if at all possible.
QB: Nick Foles
Big D*^k Nick is back. Or at least it looked like it last week. I thought Trubisky would play well enough to keep this job, but that just did not happen. People may get excited after the comeback that Foles lead against the Falcons, but their pass defense is atrocious. He faces a Colts D this week giving up 10.69 fantasy points per game to the QB position. Foles may become a reliable starter for your fantasy team, but it will not be this week. Find him a comfortable spot on your bench.
QB: Cam Newton (vs KC)
Cam Newton had a down week against the Raiders in Week 3 finishing with 13.18 points. In week 4 he goes against a Chiefs defense that has allowed 21.08 points per game (6 pts per passing TD) to opposing QBs. If if Newton is unable to find the end zone on the ground this could be another rough week for him. Tamper expectations for him going into Week 4.
QB: Kyler Murray (vs. Carolina)
This is a risky call considering Murray is currently the 5th ranked QB by fantasy points. But Carolina has been very good vs. QBs this year, giving up the third least fantasy points to QBs. This includes only 3 total TD passes and 15 total rushing yards to QBs.
QB: Carson Wentz
Saying Wentz is playing bad is an understatement. He has 6 interceptions and is completing less than 60% of his passes. His offensive line does him no favors and now he’s up against a stout 49ers D. The 49ers are only giving up 187 yards passing a game and only 2 passing touchdowns total through 3 games. Wentz is a must sit.
RB: Derrick Henry
This game is postponed but should still be played on Monday or Tuesday. I'm not sure how all this works, but the Titans will probably miss practice time. Derrick Henry has been given massive volume but has also been inefficient outside of last week. His first two games he was only averaging 3.57 yards per carry. He plays a tough Pitt run defense that is allowing just 13.93 points per game to the position, and the Steelers should be able to put up points. There may be more throwing in this game than usual for the Titans. I know if you have Henry you probably do not have a better option to slide into his position, so if you must start him temper your expectations.
RB: Sony Michel
Do not be fooled by Sony's 9 carries for 117 yards. This is a messy backfield, and James White was not even active for this game to take his touches. Sony Michel has been extremely inefficient and only averaged 3.7 ypc against a terrible Miami defense when they faced each other earlier this season. He is a non factor in the passing game and they will need to pass the ball often to keep up the Chiefs. I need to see more from Sony to make me believe I can trust him even in my flex position.
RB: Todd Gurley (vs GB)
While Todd Gurley has seen 15 or more touches in every game this season he is only averaging 11.66 PPR points. Gurley is not being used in the passing game, making him a TD dependent RB. Expect the Falcons to be trailing throughout this game against the Packers. Brian Hill should see more snaps as the Falcons try to come back. Consider Gurley a FLEX option this week.
RB: David Montgomery (vs. Indianapolis)
After a solid game against the Giants in week 2, Montgomery had only 54 total yards vs. Atlanta. Now he gets a Colts defense that’s allowing the sixth fewest fantasy points to RBs. Full Disclosure: This was going to be Derrick Henry (vs. Pittsburgh) before the game was postponed.
RB: Todd Gurley
Gurley only played 51% of snaps last week against the Bears and Atlanta was reluctant to running with the lead. Brian Hill, also, ate into some of Gurley’s work load last week and Green Bay hasn’t allowed a running back all year to rush for more than 58 yards. I’d sit Gurley this week in what should be a negative game script.
WR: Hollywood Brown
Hollywood is an explosive playmaker, but he has not been much of a fantasy difference maker this season. He is being targeted 6 times per game but he has not done much with his targets. He faces a Washington Defense that is only giving up 23.77 fantasy points per game to WRs, and the Ravens should be able to establish the run and control time of possession in this one. Expect a ground and pound game from them in this one, and Hollywood to not be much of a factor.
WR: TY Hilton (vs CHI)
From an outside perspective this looks like an ideal situation for TY Hilton. Both Parris Campbell and Michael Pittman Jr. are now on IR. Hilton has only played on 58% and 52% of snaps the past 2 weeks. He has also only seen 9 targets in that span. There is clearly a lack of chemistry between him and Philip Rivers. Do not expect that to change in Week 4. Look for Zach Pascal, Mo Alie-Cox and Nyheim Hines to dominate the targets this week. Consider Hilton a low end FLEX option for week 4.
WR: Allen Robinson (vs. Indianapolis)
I guess I’m down on all the Bears skill position guys this week. After a quiet first two weeks, Robinson went off for 10 catches, 123 yards, and a TD last week vs. Atlanta. But Indianapolis has allowed the fewest receptions and the second fewest receiving yards to WRs. They have allowed 4 TDs so Robinson’s best chance at a decent fantasy day might have to come in the red zone.
WR: Julian Edelman
Edelman is coming off a 2 catch 23 yard performance against the Raiders and now gets the Chiefs who give up the 4th fewest passing yards per game. The Chiefs just completely shut down Lamar Jackson and now get a similar quarterback in Cam Newton. The Chiefs only gave up 7 catches for 32 yards to Ravens wide receivers last week so expect a tough outing for Edelman as well.
TE: Hunter Henry
The Bucs only give up 6.63 points per game to the TE position this year and it is not because they have been playing bad players at that position. They limited the likes of Noah Fant and Jared Cook already this year. Expect Henry to struggle in this one as his QB does as well.
TE: Hayden Hurst (vs GB)
Even with Julio Jones out and Russell Gage exiting the game early due to injury, Hurst only saw 3 targets in Week 3. There should be more opportunity there against the Packers, but Hurst is a risky play in Week 4. Only start Hurst if both Julio Jones and Russell Gage are out for this game.
TE: Zach Ertz (vs. San Francisco)
Ertz is one of the guys where you’re starting him if you have him. But I think you really have to keep your expectations in check, even if he’s getting a spike in targets with Goedert out. The 49ers have been lights out vs. tight ends this year, allowing only a total of 5 catches for 40 yards (which includes Evan Engram’s 3 catches for 22 yards last week).
D/ST: New England (vs. Kansas City) – This is the second straight week that I’m fading a top fantasy defense going against the Chiefs (last week it was the Ravens). The Patriots needed a TD to salvage any value against Seattle two weeks ago, and I think we’re looking at the same situation here. Full Disclosure: This was going to be Pittsburgh (vs. Tennessee) before the game was postponed.