Podcastic Week 5 Start/ Sit
It is week 5, and man has it been a tumultuous season so far! The injuries are piling up, but we are here to help you with your start/ sits on the players who are still left standing. Give us a follow on Twitter (handles next to each of our names). It should be a great week of football so let's go ahead and get into it.
QB: Teddy Bridgewater
Bridgewater has been solid so far this season and gets a mouth watering matchup against the Falcons. The Falcons are giving up the most points per game to QBs at 33 per game. Bridgewater is coming off of his best fantasy outing of the season, putting up 29 points in 4 point per passing TD leagues, and you can expect his momentum to carry over into this game!
QB: Gardner Minshew
Gardner Minshew had a solid week against the Bengals this past week with his favorite WR DJ Chark back in the lineup. He threw for 351 yards 2 TDs and a pick. He should be able to put up similar numbers against Houston, due to having to keep up with Deshaun Watson. The Jags defense is not great and they will need to throw to keep pace. Expect a high end QB2 performance from Uncle Rico.
QB: Kirk Cousins (vs. Seattle)
After six interceptions in his first three games, Cousins finally had a turnover-free game last week. The Vikings have still been leaning heavily on the run this year (Cousins doesn’t have more than 27 attempts in a game this year), but that will most likely have to change this week against Seattle. Seattle is the most pass funnel defense in the league according to 4 for 4 Football’s schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (best defense vs. RBs, 31st vs. QBs).
QB: Kirk Cousins (vs SEA)
Alright, so Ryan Fitzpatrick didn't quite pan out last week. However, I'm still targeting the Seattle defense once again in Week 5. Kirk Cousins himself has had a bit of a rollercoaster season. He now has two viable WRs to throw to in Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. If the Vikings get behind early, expect Cousins to throw the ball early and often. This could finally be the week that Cousins breaks the Prime Time curse!
QB: Teddy Bridgewater
Bridgewater is coming off his best game of the season with 2 touchdown passes and 1 rushing touchdown. Now he gets the Falcons and the 2nd worst pass D in the league. Robby Anderson and Mike Davis have proved to be great options in the receiving game. If D.J. Moore can start playing to his potential, and this is the game to do it, Bridgewater could break out as more than just a game manager. It’s Teddy time in Carolina.
RB: Todd Gurley
Gurley has put up some solid fantasy points this season. Alot have come from TDs and if there is one thing the Panthers can not do, it is prevent RBs from scoring. Carolina has already given up 7 rushing TDs to the position. I would expect another solid game from Gurley, and then trade as fast as possible!
RB: James Robinson
JRob is on a tear this season. Robinson has gone over 100 scrimmage yards in his past 3 games. He has thrived in a workhorse role. He now gets the Texans who are giving up the 4th most fantasy points to the RB position this season at 31 points per game. He is a clear start!
RB: James Robinson (vs. Houston)
I’m going with Robinson after he had 100 total yards against Cincinnati (but no TDs). The Texans have faced a lineup of strong running games this year (KC/Balt/Pitt/Minn) and have been gashed by all four. They’ve given up 651 rushing yards to opposing RBs, 61 more than the 2nd-highest team (Detroit).
RB: James White (vs DEN)
James White is currently ranked as the RB28 in ECR for PPR scoring. Upon his return to the lineup, he played on 53% of snaps and put up 12.9 points. The Patriots will likely be without starting QB Cam Newton once again in Week 5. Expect to see White heavily involved in the passing game in Week 5. Consider him a low end RB2 or strong flex play this week.
RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Edwards-Helaire has 14 catches over the last 3 games after people were concerned about his 0 catch opening game. Edwards-Helaire also hasn’t scored since week 1. The Raiders have been beat by running backs all year on the ground and through the air. They’ve also given up 8 touchdowns to opposing running backs. CEH is due for a TD and I wouldn’t be surprised if he went over 100 yards rushing as well.
WR: Justin Jefferson
We all know that Russ is cooking! That means the Vikings will have to throw to keep pace with the Seahawks. They should be able to as well, as the Seahawks D has given up the most points per game to the WR position at 53.5. Jefferson has established a good rapport with Cousins and has put up over 100 yards receiving in each of his last two games.
WR: Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson (vs. Seattle)
I’m just going to repeat what I said last week: Looking at Seattle’s stats against WRs, you’d swear they’ve played an extra game. They’ve seen 135 targets (next closest is 108), 94 receptions (next closest is 67) and 1,345 yards (next closest is 845). Somehow their 5 TDs allowed is only tied for fifth-highest. Until this trend stops, you have to keep playing the opposing team’s WRs. Thielen is a little boom/bust this year, with two games above 100 yards and two below 40. Jefferson is coming off his second straight 100+ yard game.
WR: DJ Moore (vs ATL)
A lot of you reading this may regret drafting DJ Moore so far this season. Well do I have good news for you! Moore plays against the Falcons this week who have struggled mightily to stop the pass. In case you missed it, the Falcons secondary gave up 3 TDs to Robert Tonyan on Monday Night Football. Yes that's right, Robert Tonyan! Look for Moore to right the ship in Week 5. Consider him a strong WR2 play this week.
WR: Justin Jefferson
A bit of recency bias as I’m riding the hot hand (or hands) here. The last two games Jefferson has 11 catches for 278 yards and 1 touchdown. The rookie is starting to come into his own as he gets to face worst pass D in the league this weekend in the Seahawks. The Seahawks are allowing over 400 yards per game passing and have allowed 7 different 100 yard receivers. Chase the points here and fire up Jefferson.
TE: Mo Alie-Cox
Alie-Cox is having a small breakout and is facing a Cleveland defense that gives up the 4th most fantasy points to the TE at 16 points per game. They on average give up a TD per game to the position as well. The Colts are missing some weapons, and Rivers still loves throwing to the TE. He should see some volume and possibly get into the endzone in this one!
TE: Hunter Henry (vs. New Orleans)
T.J. Hockenson disappointed last week with only 2 catches for 9 yards and a TD vs. the Saints. But I’m trying again this week with Henry facing them. New Orleans has still allowed the 2nd most fantasy point to TEs, which includes the 2nd most receptions, 3rd most yards and tied for 2nd in TDs. Before last week, Henry had at least 5 receptions and 50 yards each game. There’s also a good chance he’ll see some increased targets with Ekeler out.
TE: Eric Ebron (vs PHI)
Eric Ebron is criminally undervalued right now, coming in as the TE20 in ECR for PPR scoring. He heads into Week 5 against an Eagles defense that has struggled against TEs and could be without LB TJ Edwards. Fun fact, teams have completed 25 out of 29 passes to their starting TE against the Eagles. Ebron also saw 7 targets against the Texans in Week 3. It appears the Steelers are trying to get him more involved in the offense. Consider Ebron one of the top streaming TEs for Week 5.
QB: Carson Wentz
The Eagles are depleted everywhere. Injured lineman, injured WRs it is just rough again here for Wentz. They are facing a stout Steelers defense that can also get after the QB. The Steelers should get to him early and often this game, which could cause some turnovers. It will be a rough outing this week.
QB: Matt Ryan (vs. Carolina)
I bet on the Carolina defense last week and they held Kyler Murray to only 133 passing yards (although he had 3 passing TDs). The Panthers also limited Tom Brady to only 217 yards in week 2. Ryan has struggled the last two weeks with only one total TD.
QB: Matt Ryan (vs. CAR)
Matt Ryan struggled on Monday Night Football against the Packers. He could be without Julio Jones and possibly Calvin Ridley this week. While this matchup looks good on paper, Carolina's defense has looked improved the past 2 weeks. There are a handful of streaming QB options you can start over Ryan this week.
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick
Fitz magic is about to pull a disappearing act. He had 315 yards passing last game but that was against the Seahawks. With more interceptions than touchdowns and Miami at 1-3, the drum beat for Tua is getting louder. Now he gets the 2nd best pass D in the league and has to travel to San Francisco. Keep Fitzpatrick on your bench this week as the end is near.
RB: Miles Sanders
Sanders had a tough time finding running room last week against the 49ers and that probably won't get any better this week. Pittsburgh is giving up the 2nd least fantasy points per game to RB at only 13.93. You probably are starting Sanders but definitely dial back your expectations. If he struggles again this week it could be open a buy low window.
RB: Miles Sanders (vs. Pittsburgh)
After two consecutive 95 rushing yard games, Sanders struggled against the 49ers stout run defense with only 46 yards (3.5 YPC). He’s also shown a frustrating tendency to sit out stretches of the 4th quarters (which have been attributed to fatigue). Pittsburgh has limited Barkley, Gordon and David Johnson to a total of 99 rushing yards so far.
RB: David Johnson (vs JAX)
David Johnson comes in as the RB14 in ECR for PPR scoring. If you haven't already heard Texans Head Coach Bill O'Brien was fired this week. He may have been Johnson's biggest supporter. In Week 4 Duke Johnson returned to the backfield and played on 38% of snaps while David played on 55%. I expect this to be more of a split backfield moving forward. Consider David Johnson a low end RB2/FLEX in Week 5.
RB: David Montgomery
Even with Tarik Cohen out of the picture now, Montgomery only had 13 touches last game for 57 yards. That was against one of the league’s best rushing D’s in the Colts, but now he gets an even better rushing D in the Bucs. Montgomery has yet to score a rushing touchdown this year and I wouldn’t have high expectations for him this week either. He’s a sit for me.
WR: Terry McLaurin
Mclaurin should draw Jalen Ramsey in coverage vs the Rams. Add onto this that he will now be playing with a new QB in Kyle Allen, and he worries me a bit. You can still plug him into your lineup, but I would not expect a huge week for him this week. Temper your expectations.
WR: Robert Woods (vs. Washington)
After going over 100 yards in week 1, Woods has a total of 123 yards over the last three games. The Rams have been a much run-heavier team this year and that’s had a noticeable impact on Woods, who hasn’t exceeded eight targets in any game this year. I don’t like Washington’s chances of getting into a shootout with the Rams, which means we should expect another conservative game plan.
WR: Jerry Jeudy (vs NE)
This one shocked me! Jerry Jeudy is currently listed as the WR33 in ECR for PPR scoring. Through the first 4 weeks, he is averaging 11.1 points per game. He was able to luck his way into a touchdown in Week 4. I am not expecting much from him this week against the Patriots defense. You can safely leave Jeudy on your bench this week.
WR: Jarvis Landry
Landry is the 2nd best receiver in a low volume passing offense. Odell Beckham is the alpha in this Brown’s passing attack and without the touchdowns Beckham’s numbers are average. Landry has no touchdowns and now gets the Colts. Expect a rough going Sunday for Cleveland and especially Landry.
TE: Mike Gesicki
The 49ers are giving up only 4.88 points per game to TEs. Gesicki has been pretty boom bust as well. I would not be confident starting him this week. If you have a better matchup, relegate him to your bench.
TE: Mike Gesicki (vs. San Francisco)
Gesicki struggled against Seattle last week and it just gets worse having to face the 49ers, who’ve shut down Evan Engram and Zach Ertz the last two weeks.
TE: Mike Gesick (vs SF)
Mike Gesicki is currently listed as the TE9 in ECR in PPR scoring. Outside of his one boom Week vs Buffalo he is averaging 5.66 pts per game. He is going against a 49ers defense that just held Zach Ertz to 4.9 points last week. There are better streaming options at TE this week, like Eric Ebron (see above). Gesicki cannot be trusted in Week 5.